Market Update May 2026 · Data: April 2026

Hawaii Hotel Market:
April 2026 Intelligence Report

Maui's rate story is finally turning. Oahu's soft patch is deepening. U.S. East is the growth engine nobody is talking about enough. Here's what the April data means for Hawaii's luxury operators.

Analysis by
Andy Evers, AHA
Data Sources
DBEDT · HTA · STR Inc.
Coverage
All Islands · All Segments
Apr Visitor Spending
$1.77B
+4.8% vs. Apr 2025
Statewide RevPAR
$272
+2.6% vs. Apr 2025
Maui County RevPAR
$373
+10.9% vs. Apr 2025
YTD Visitor Spending
$7.9B
+8.0% vs. YTD 2025

01 — The Big Picture

More Revenue From Fewer Visitors — The Trend Is Now Confirmed

April delivered $1.77 billion in visitor spending — up 4.8% — on 828,959 arrivals that were actually down 0.5% from April 2025. The math tells a clear story: visitors who came to Hawaii in April spent significantly more. Per-person daily spending hit $278, up 14.1% from $243 in April 2025. Per-person trip spending rose 5.3% to $2,134.

This is no longer a one-month anomaly. February, March, and now April have each confirmed the same pattern. YTD through April, spending is up 8.0% on arrivals up only 2.7%. Hawaii is generating more revenue per visitor consistently — driven by a compositional shift toward higher-spending markets, premium experience demand, and a broader move up the quality curve.

For ownership groups and asset managers building 2027 budgets, the data supports using $275+ per person per day as a baseline spending assumption — a meaningful upward revision from prior planning benchmarks.

$278
Per-person daily spend in April — up 14.1% from $243 in April 2025
+16.3%
U.S. East arrivals growth in April — the fastest growing visitor market by a wide margin
+8.0%
YTD visitor spending growth on just 2.7% more arrivals — quality over quantity confirmed
AHA Commentary — Andy Evers

"Three consecutive months of spending growth on flat or declining arrivals is a structural signal, not a statistical quirk. Hawaii is attracting a higher-value visitor. The properties best positioned to capture that shift are those investing in premium guest experience now — not waiting for the market to reward them automatically. Quality-over-quantity only benefits operators who are ready for it."

— Andy Evers, Founder, Aloha Hospitality Advisors

02 — Island Performance

Maui Turns the Corner. Oahu's Soft Patch Deepens.

April's island-by-island story is the most significant since the beginning of 2026. Maui posted its strongest RevPAR growth of any island — up 10.9% to $373 — driven by occupancy recovering 5.8 points to 68.6% and ADR finally holding at $544, up 1.4%. The Lahaina/Kaanapali/Kapalua corridor, the weakest submarket for months, surged 13.3% in RevPAR. After a prolonged period of occupancy recovering while rate lagged, April shows the first meaningful signs that Maui operators are beginning to hold rate as demand strengthens.

Oahu continued its underperformance. Hotel RevPAR fell 4.8% to $207, with Waikiki dropping 5.4% to $194. Occupancy slipped to 76.7% and ADR fell 3.4% to $270. YTD, Oahu RevPAR is down 2.5% while every other island is positive. The pattern is now four months consistent — this is a structural issue, not a seasonal one.

Structural Soft Patch

Oʻahu

RevPAR fell 4.8% to $207. Waikiki down 5.4% to $194. Upscale RevPAR dropped 10.3%, Upper Midscale fell 9.5%. YTD RevPAR down 2.5% — the only island in negative territory. Leisure transient is soft, the group calendar is thin, and international recovery remains incomplete. This market needs a group strategy, not a rate strategy.

Rate Recovery Underway

Maui County

RevPAR surged 10.9% to $373. Lahaina/Kaanapali/Kapalua up 13.3%. ADR held at $544, up 1.4% — the first meaningful rate improvement after months of lag. Kahului air seats for May-July are up 16.5%. If there was ever a window to push rate back toward pre-fire levels, this summer is it.

Outperforming

Hawaiʻi Island

RevPAR up 9.2% to $326. ADR up 10.0% to $483. Kohala Coast ADR up 13.8% to $674 and RevPAR up 8.5% to $456. YTD Hawaii Island RevPAR is up 5.4% — second strongest of any island. Kona air seats for May-July up 8.5%. Operators should be pushing rate through summer.

Quietly Strong

Kauaʻi

RevPAR up 2.9% to $328. ADR up 4.8% to $435. YTD RevPAR up 2.8%. Lihue air seats for May-July up 16.2% — the second strongest forward airlift of any island. STR demand growing while supply contracts. A strong summer setup for operators willing to hold rate.

MarketOccupancyOcc. ChangeADRADR ChangeRevPARRevPAR Change
State of Hawaiʻi73.6%+0.6 pts$370+1.8%$272+2.6%
Oʻahu76.7%−1.2 pts$270−3.4%$207−4.8%
Waikīkī76.9%−1.4 pts$252−3.7%$194−5.4%
Maui County68.6%+5.8 pts$544+1.4%$373+10.9%
Wailea77.2%+3.0 pts$737−3.8%$5690.0%
Lāhainā/Kāʻanapali/Kapalua67.3%+7.4 pts$442+0.9%$297+13.3%
Hawaiʻi Island67.5%−0.5 pts$483+10.0%$326+9.2%
Kohala Coast67.7%−3.3 pts$674+13.8%$456+8.5%
Kauaʻi75.4%−1.4 pts$435+4.8%$328+2.9%

Source: DBEDT (STR, Inc.) | April 2026

03 — Segment Performance

Luxury Extends Its Lead. Four Months and Counting.

The segment bifurcation that began in January has now extended to four consecutive months. Luxury ADR rose 6.6% to $714 and RevPAR climbed 5.3% to $508 — even as occupancy dipped slightly. Upper Upscale posted strong occupancy gains of 2.5 points with RevPAR up 2.4%. Below that line, the story reverses: Upscale ADR fell 3.2%, Upper Midscale fell 1.8%, and Midscale/Economy fell 1.2%.

The top two segments are pulling away. The bottom three are losing rate. Properties positioned between Luxury and Upscale face the most strategic pressure — and the window to reposition is narrowing.

SegmentOccupancyOcc. ChangeADRADR ChangeRevPARRevPAR Change
Luxury71.1%−0.8 pts$714+6.6%$508+5.3%
Upper Upscale76.8%+2.5 pts$334−0.9%$257+2.4%
Upscale69.9%−0.4 pts$228−3.2%$159−3.7%
Upper Midscale70.7%−1.9 pts$194−1.8%$137−1.8%
Midscale & Economy76.1%−0.4 pts$223−1.2%$170−1.6%

Source: DBEDT (STR, Inc.) | Statewide, April 2026

04 — Visitor Markets

U.S. East Is the Growth Engine. Canada Is the Growing Concern.

The visitor market story in April is defined by two diverging trends at opposite ends of the performance spectrum. U.S. East arrivals surged 16.3% to 209,756 with spending up 18.1% to $530 million and per-person daily spend of $296 — the highest of any domestic market. YTD, East arrivals are up 14.7% and spending up 17.4% — by far the fastest-growing segment. Worth noting: DBEDT's "U.S. East" classification covers everything east of the Rockies, including the Midwest and South. Dallas domestic seats to Kahului are up 22.2% for May-July, a signal of where new demand is forming.

At the other end, Canada continued its structural retreat. April arrivals of 34,900 were the lowest monthly total of 2026, down 4.1%. YTD arrivals are down 7.6% and spending down 4.1% — and those declines sit on top of an already-softening 2025 Canadian market. The drivers are well-documented: U.S.-Canada trade tensions, a weakening Canadian dollar, and a measurable shift in consumer sentiment. May-July air seats from Canada are down 9.1%, with Calgary essentially grounded on Kahului routes.

MarketArrivalsYoY ChangeSpendingYoY ChangeDaily Spend
U.S. West435,359−4.8%$903M+5.7%$283
U.S. East209,756+16.3%$530M+18.1%$296
Japan55,512+6.0%$81M+4.2%$247
Canada34,900−4.1%$87M−4.9%$227
Cruise Ships27,624+20.4%$10M−1.9%$104

Source: DBEDT | April 2026

AHA Commentary — Andy Evers

"The U.S. East market is underweighted in most Hawaii distribution strategies relative to its growth trajectory. West still delivers more than twice the arrivals — but East is growing at nearly three times the rate, 14.7% YTD versus essentially flat for West. On the Canada side, there is no scenario where Canadian demand recovers before fall. Properties with material Canadian exposure need adjusted revenue targets and contingency plans in place now — not next quarter."

— Andy Evers, Founder, Aloha Hospitality Advisors

05 — Vacation Rental Market

STR Supply Contracting — But Rate Compression Continues

April showed a new dynamic in the STR market: statewide supply fell 8.4% year over year while demand declined only 2.5%, pushing occupancy up 3.3 points to 54.0%. The supply contraction is being driven in part by permit enforcement — particularly on Oahu, where supply fell 26.0% while demand fell only 14.2%, lifting occupancy 8.8 points to 64.1%.

Despite the occupancy improvement, ADR dropped 7.1% to $506 statewide, extending the rate compression trend that has now run for several months. The hotel-to-STR rate gap is actually widening in hotels' favor — statewide hotel ADR was $370 in April versus STR ADR of $506. For guests comparing options, the value proposition of hotels relative to STRs is improving and should be leveraged in marketing.

MarketOccupancyOcc. ChangeADRADR Change
State of Hawaiʻi54.0%+3.3 pts$506−7.1%
Oʻahu64.1%+8.8 pts$416−5.2%
Maui County51.6%−0.1 pts$609−8.2%
Lāhainā/Kāʻanapali/Nāpili/Kapalua52.4%−0.2 pts$756−11.8%
Hawaiʻi Island48.3%+3.9 pts$410−7.2%
Kauaʻi53.9%+3.6 pts$579−9.6%

Source: DBEDT (Lighthouse Intelligence) | April 2026

06 — Strategic Implications

What Hawaii Operators Should Be Doing Right Now

For Maui Operators

  • April is the signal you've been waiting for. RevPAR up 10.9%, Lahaina/Kaanapali up 13.3%, Luxury ADR up 6.6%. Kahului air seats for May-July are up 16.5%. This summer is the window to push rate back toward pre-fire levels — don't leave it on the table.
  • Rate confidence, not occupancy chasing, is the priority. Demand is not the constraint. Operators who discount to fill the last few rooms this summer will undermine the rate recovery that April is signaling.

For Oʻahu Operators

  • Build the group pipeline now. Cutting rate to fill leisure transient rooms will not fix a market that needs group, convention, and MICE business. The RevPAR gap between Oahu and the Neighbor Islands is widening month by month.
  • Reassess Canadian market exposure. With May-July seats from Canada down 9.1% and Calgary essentially grounded, properties with material Canadian FIT or group business need adjusted targets — not contingency plans.

For Hawaiʻi Island & Kauaʻi Operators

  • Push rate through summer. Both islands have strong forward airlift — Kona up 8.5%, Lihue up 16.2%. Kohala Coast ADR is up 13.8%. This is not the moment to match the market. It's the moment to lead it.
  • Invest in the U.S. East relationship. With East arrivals up 16.3% and daily spend at $296, properties should be building East Coast distribution, wholesaler relationships, and targeted marketing strategies now.

For All Operators — Watch These Variables

  • Forward air is the strongest signal yet for summer. Total May-July seats up 6.5%. Kahului +16.5%, Lihue +16.2%, Kona +8.5%. Honolulu only +2.1%. The Neighbor Island demand advantage is structural and accelerating.
  • Korea seat capacity is reversing sharply. Down 27.3% for May-July. Properties with Korean group or FIT business should be building contingency demand from other Asian markets.
  • The hotel vs. STR value story is in your favor. Hotel ADR statewide is $370 vs. STR ADR of $506. Lean into this in your marketing and distribution messaging.
  • 2027 budget planning should use $275+ per person per day. Three consecutive months of confirmation makes this a reliable baseline assumption for forward revenue modeling.

Want to Talk Through What This Means for Your Property?

Aloha Hospitality Advisors translates market intelligence into practical operational and revenue strategy for luxury and boutique properties across Hawaii. Schedule a complimentary discovery call with Andy Evers.

Book a Discovery Call